Nfl Week 3 Picks

The NFL regular season is divided into 17 weeks that begin on Sept. 5th. Each of the 32 teams in the league plays a 16 game schedule with an off week known as a “bye week” for each team. The games are played on Mondays and Thursdays including the famous Thanksgiving Day NFL Kickoff Game. Over/under NFL bets involve predicting whether the total points in a game will be over or under a predetermined number. With an over/under bet you are not picking a team to win, you are only betting on the combined total amount of points the teams will score during the game. Before placing your bet, ask yourself, “Am I on or off a key number?

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If you bet on the favorite, you win your bet if the favorite wins AND their margin of victory is greater than the point spread. If you bet on the underdog, you win if the underdog wins, ties, or if the favored team wins but fails to exceed the point spread. It is standard for point spread bets in most sports that you wager $110 to win $100.

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That may not matter under normal circumstances against Tampa Bay’s stout, second-ranked run defense that allows 79.8 yards per game, but Vita Vea is dealing with an MCL injury. The Week 1 betting odds on WynnBET have https://mohammadanbari.ir/how-to-convert-betting-odds-into-percentages-of-probability/ the Bills as -6.5 point favorites at home. They have -290 odds on the money line, while Pittsburgh is the underdog at +230. The Week 1 betting odds on WynnBET have the Chiefs as 6-point favorites at home. They have -270 moneyline odds, while Washington is the underdog at +215.

The plus sign attached to the Steelers’ moneyline odds (+215) indicates Pittsburgh is the underdog. The larger the number next to the plus sign, the less likely the underdog is to win. The minus sign attached to the Ravens’ moneyline odds indicates Baltimore is the favorite to win. The larger the number next to the minus sign, the more likely the favorite is to win. To understand football odds, let’s break down an example from a regular-season NFL game.

Nfl Week One

Against a weak Jaguars pass defense, Brown’s return should be enough to punish Jacksonville even if Jones isn’t able to play. Add in the fact the Jaguars are dealing with all the off-field distractions and potentially disrespecting their coach, and this one looks like the Titans game to lose. I’ll gladly play the Packers to win and cover there, and I’ll take the -3 too if I need to. If we lose the hook in the other direction, I probably stay away or nibble that +450 winning band. Still, the -3 stared at me all week and scared me a little, and there’s no question that some of Green Bay’s key names being injured lowers their ceiling. Thanks to Kyler Murray’s mobility, the Cardinals have the type of offense that gives the 49ers defense trouble, as San Fran relies on getting home with a four-man pass rush.

Defensively, the Dolphins return a group that led the NFL in takeaways and they should continue to be a strong challenge for the offenses in the AFC East this season. There might not be a team more discussed in media circles, this off-season, than Kyle Shanahan’s 49er’s. They traded up to draft Trey Lance since Jimmy Garappolo has proved to be less than reliable as the starter. Then they drafted electric rookie running back Trey Sermon to spell Raheem Mostert. This is certainly an offense that could use some assistance, finishing 22nd and 15th in pass and run DVOA, respectively, in 2020. These middle-of-the-pack numbers naturally led to middle-of-the-pack scoring output, averaging just 23.5 points per game last season.

Pirates are better than the giants in terms of people, but they have also struggled to cover the spread in recent weeks. They are only 3-6 ATS so far this season and have been particularly bad since Rob Gronkowski injured against the Rams. BetMGM is real Vegas gambling and sports betting right from your phone. Sign up at the sportsbook today to bet from anywhere in Nevada. Edmonds is now the full-time running back in Arizona, which means he should see even more work than usual. Last season, Edmonds averaged 25.1 receiving yards per game and he will face-off against a Titans team that struggles to cover running backs in the passing game.

And the last thing is the intangibles such as is it a short week, does a team have injury problems, travel delays, etc. Say a bettor wanted to place a wager on both the spread and the total, risking $100. They could simply take $50 and bet on the Bucs -7.5, then take the other $50 and take the under 50.5.

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Again, this may not seem like a significant difference, but the extra return afforded by the book with more favorable odds can add up over the course of the season. By taking the time to line shop, you just may find numbers that are right up your alley. On the spread and moneyline, the range between the numbers indicates the perceived closeness or disparity of the matchup. Understanding NFL odds — how they’re set, how they move, how they change as the game progresses — is key to your long-term NFL betting success. Every number that gets released by NFL oddsmakers is heavily scrutinized and for good reason. A common NFL prop would be predicting the Gatorade color or coin toss at the Super Bowl.

Broncos At Steelers Odds

As part of your NFL handicapping process, get in the habit of noting where the odds are at the release in comparison to where they are when you’re ready to bet. Movement on the odds board can point out where the public is leaning, as well as additional factors you may have missed. The former could open up at 3.5 points at release, but be pushed down to 2.5 by kickoff. Meanwhile, a total could open up at 51 points and wind up at 52.5 when all is said and done.